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[Dunia] Gempar bumi :Kajian Saxo Bank kata UK bakal 'turun pangkat' kerana terjerumus dalam pelbagai krisis ,jadi negara membangun semula.Anda terkejut?

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Post time 10-8-2022 12:21 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts |Read mode
Edited by YgBenar at 10-8-2022 12:22 AM

Political instability, trade disruptions, an energy crisis and skyrocketing inflation are rendering the U.K. an “emerging market country,” according to Saxo Bank.

The Bank of England warned last week that the U.K. economy will enter its longest recession since the Great Financial Crisis in the fourth quarter, leading GDP 2.1% lower. Meanwhile, inflation is projected to peak above 13% in October.

Importantly, the central bank is not anticipating a sharp rebound from the recession, and sees GDP remaining 1.75% below today’s levels in mid-2025.

In a research note Monday, Saxo Bank Head of Macro Analysis Christopher Dembik said the U.K. is “more and more looking like an emerging market country.”

A new prime minister will be announced on Sept. 5 after Boris Johnson’s resignation, with Conservative candidates Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak vying for the keys to 10 Downing Street as the country faces a historic cost of living crisis and the sharpest fall in living standards on record.

The U.K.’s energy price cap is set to rise by another 70% in October, pushing energy bills above £3,400 ($4,118) per year and driving millions of households into poverty, with a further increase to the cap expected early next year.

The country has also been battling trade disruptions due to Brexit and Covid-related bottlenecks.

The only factor missing from a characterization as an emerging market country, Dembik said, is a currency crisis, with the British pound holding firm despite the litany of macroeconomic headwinds.

“It only dropped 0.70% against the euro and 1.50% against the U.S. dollar over the past week. Our bet: after surviving Brexit uncertainty, we don’t see what could push the sterling pound into a free fall.”

However, he suggested that all leading indicators point to more pain ahead for the British economy. For instance, new car registrations — often perceived as a leading indicator of the health of the British economy — fell from 1.835 million in July 2021 to 1.528 million last month, a drop of 14%.

“This is the lowest level since the end of the 1970s. The recession will be long and deep. There won’t be an easy escape. This is most worrying, in our view. The Bank of England assesses the slump will last with GDP still 1.75% below today’s levels in mid-2025,” Dembik said.


https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/09/britain-is-...alyst-says.html

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Post time 10-8-2022 12:48 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Tapi org Malaysia tetap melancong ke London.


P
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Post time 10-8-2022 02:37 AM | Show all posts
TERkujat... Semoga nilai pound sama dgn rm
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Post time 10-8-2022 07:06 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
sharlenetexas replied at 9-8-2022 08:48 AM
Tapi org Malaysia tetap melancong ke London.



Malaysia sudah lama maju kan UK lalui education... Bukan tourism saja
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Post time 10-8-2022 08:03 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Dgn ramainya pendatang..bawa masalah sosial tak terkejut pun...puak2 minda kls ketiga patutnya mereput je kat negara masing2
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Post time 10-8-2022 08:11 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
UK skang mmg dh mcm pariah
Dah la penuh dgn immigran sana sini
Eloklah downgrade jah
Meleis kampong jah peghak dgn landen bagai
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Post time 10-8-2022 08:50 AM | Show all posts
UK jadi B40
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Post time 10-8-2022 08:57 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
europe is fuck up
destroying themselves follow us orders
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:02 AM | Show all posts
tetap aku susah nak cari minyak peket
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:15 AM | Show all posts
Apa kata UK ni p hire jaa abang rapiji kaa Nuar Berahi kaa apa ka... especially rapiji terkenal dgn "kebijaksanaan" yakni mampu selesai 1001 masalah dgn "formula2" hebat tak terjangkau dek akai..

kalo berlaku di malaysia.. mai laa ratip umngok kaa BN kaa apa kaa.. macai2 politaik picisan menyalak sri lanka 2.0 ka apa kaa.... hakikat sebenaq satu donia hadapi masalah sama... tapi tak habis2 nak menghasut dari mengajaq masyarakat umum supaya ubah cara hidop... patot jadi pembangkang yang bijaksana untuk meraih undi.. tapi malang jadi pembangang kerja menghasut yang tak mampu selesaikan masalah pun..
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:26 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Habis madu sepah dibuang. Bye2 londong. Jasa mu dikenang oleh pendatang di Malaysia. Tule lain kalicuri lagi emas org ,Kan dah kena
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:36 AM | Show all posts
Kutip lah DAP gi jadi parti pemerintah sana. Bior melayu kampungan jer duk Malaysia neh
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:36 AM | Show all posts
please gunakan bahasa kebangsaan
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:39 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
padan muka wakakaka
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Post time 10-8-2022 09:42 AM | Show all posts
empar bumi :Kajian Saxo Bank kata UK bakal 'turun pangkat' kerana terjerumus dalam pelbagai krisis ,jadi negara membangun semula.Anda terkejut?





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Post time 10-8-2022 10:02 AM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Bedah.Cun replied at 10-8-2022 09:36 AM
Kutip lah DAP gi jadi parti pemerintah sana. Bior melayu kampungan jer duk Malaysia neh

Kutip Sekali melayu yg terkinja2 membela pendatang. Gi main salji jauh2.syuh..syuh..
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Post time 10-8-2022 11:35 AM | Show all posts
belanda sdg perang dgn petani supaya tak bertani lagi
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Post time 10-8-2022 02:20 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Minta la nilai matawang jadi sama setaraf dgn RM.
Boleh acah2 jejak UK macam balik kampung jah
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Post time 10-8-2022 02:24 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Pdn muka ikut lg ckp US
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Post time 10-8-2022 02:38 PM From the mobile phone | Show all posts
Dah agak.. nak sgt jadi PM.. rakyat dia mmg nak ye bukan omputih jadi PM
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